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XAU/USD Forecast for Monday, June 16, 2025

🟡 XAU/USD Forecast for Monday, June 16, 2025

1. 📆 Weekend Snapshot & Market Setup


Bottom line: Gold pulled back, but remains supported above key technical zones. The big moves come with Fed commentary and any weekend news from the Middle East.

2. 🌍 What’s Moving Gold Right Now


a. Profit-taking post-rally

b. Israel-Iran tensions

c. Oil volatility

d. Fed policy ahead

e. Dollar bounce

3. 🧭 Technical Levels to Watch


Support zones:

Resistance zones:

Indicators:

4. 🔮 Monday’s Forecast

Scenario Opening Price Intraday Path Trading Zone
Bullish Bounce
Base Case
Bearish Pullback

Catalysts to watch:

5. 🛠 Trading & Investing Advice

Day Traders:
Use tight stop-loss (~$10–15).
Play bounce between $3,377–$3,425.
Step out before Fed press conference.

Swing Traders:

Buy dips near $3,345–$3,370, target $3,480.
Add above $3,450 if momentum picks up.

Long-Term Investors:
Holding gold with rising geopolitical risk, Fed flexibility, and central bank demand makes sense.
Maintain 5–10% portfolio allocation in gold or XAU/USD ETFs.

6. 🏁 Final Word

Monday’s action revolves around the Fed meeting and any news from the Middle East. Holding above $3,400 keeps the upward trend alive, with $3,480–$3,500 in play. A break below $3,377 could signal a healthier correction phase. But bigger picture stays bullish—geopolitics, Fed policy, and technical momentum are lining up in gold’s favor.


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